Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.545979 3.048026 3.610253 4.284629 5.069547 5.952222 7.017842
2025-11-30 1.782698 2.407114 3.181899 4.206194 5.516024 7.125279 9.241215
2025-12-07 1.272550 1.905102 2.761166 3.988012 5.681453 7.913911 11.052058
2025-12-14 0.990697 1.621344 2.540446 3.949829 6.021708 8.913741 13.202212
2025-12-21 0.796966 1.413212 2.372587 3.933729 6.357211 9.909179 15.419208
2025-12-28 0.703554 1.337091 2.380685 4.166246 7.067037 11.493229 18.617192
2026-01-04 0.607493 1.233939 2.322822 4.275906 7.585942 12.827442 21.552599
2026-01-11 0.540584 1.167368 2.311619 4.453394 8.223136 14.392093 24.969922
2026-01-18 0.461993 1.061576 2.211549 4.457383 8.560558 15.494642 27.731700
2026-01-25 0.379468 0.929745 2.039899 4.303379 8.596780 16.088686 29.692401
2026-02-01 0.311741 0.813895 1.878510 4.141873 8.592780 16.600898 31.540360
2026-02-08 0.270063 0.746972 1.804308 4.137719 8.875250 17.631326 34.356274
2026-02-15 0.234327 0.687356 1.738156 4.145471 9.190489 18.765400 37.482720
2026-02-22 0.200354 0.624209 1.653562 4.102300 9.399414 19.721010 40.364643
2026-03-01 0.162299 0.540400 1.505936 3.898535 9.253445 19.984810 41.974817
2026-03-08 0.139661 0.493466 1.438042 3.864002 9.456801 20.940211 44.966865
2026-03-15 0.121334 0.454292 1.382314 3.849086 9.698763 21.988853 48.213498
2026-03-22 0.115561 0.452774 1.424646 4.077414 10.505809 24.250687 54.020637
2026-03-29 0.105505 0.434708 1.419092 4.185069 11.047361 26.000953 58.914123
2026-04-05 0.098748 0.426133 1.438575 4.359216 11.760609 28.165948 64.797807
2026-04-12 0.087306 0.397674 1.395662 4.363137 12.068107 29.480900 69.002672
2026-04-19 0.073149 0.354573 1.300679 4.212057 11.980763 29.922914 71.394262
2026-04-26 0.060990 0.315018 1.208360 4.053627 11.855441 30.265800 73.590396